Crisis over the Downed Russian Plane
By Amos Yadlin
Israel and Russia are not enemies and there's no reason for a confrontation between them. Russia knows perfectly well that Israel strikes in Syria only because of the Iranian activity. The S-300 delivery to Syria doesn't change the strategic balance. No air defense system is impregnable or indestructible. Israel has F-35s which were designed with exactly such systems in mind.
A Russian-operated S-400 system has been in Syria for years, never launching against Israel or U.S. aircraft. If Syrian crews operate the S-300, Israel will know how to hit it. Russian air defense systems' reputation will take a hit.
line: Israel may well be more cautious in some marginal cases. Faced with a
dilemma whether to let an Iranian threat grow next door and taking a higher
tactical risk and some inconvenience with Russia, its leaders will not sit on
their hands watching.